Thursday, March 1, 2012

Bundesbank ECB - Target2 - facts and discussion, last upd:2012/4/13

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Dear reader,









German econ professor and director of German Ifo think tank. Hans-Werner Sinn has sparked a debate first in Germany and now reaching far beyond about the problems arising or just not within the imbalances of the ECB central bank clearing system. In order to give a broad range of facts and opinions here is a collection of articles: 

Interpreting TARGET2 balances (BIS) Working Papers No 393 December 2012









Ifo Working Paper No. 105 (ger)




ifo Spezialthema: Target-Salden (ger)




charts: Target balances jan 1999 (2007) - jan 2012 of central banks (ger)









ECB: Target2




Irish CB: Information guide for Target2 users  (pdf)




Bundesbank: TARGET2reasons for introduction # (pdf)




19 November 2007 - TARGET2successfully launched 




TARGET (Wiki)










Apr 3rd 2012
Target2 debate, Part II
Apr 3rd 2012
Why is there no TARGET2 debate in the US?
Mar 31st 2012 # Credit risk dispute:  "Germany can be blackmailed" #(sueddeutsche)
Mar 23rd 2012 # "Bundesbank belittles a financial atomic bomb"  #(Die Welt)
Mar 14th 2012 # How a justified criticism of Target2 could look like #(Kantoos Economics)
Mar 13th 2012 # Olaf Storbeck: The U-turn which wasn't one-The BuBa and Target2 #(Handelsblatt) 
Mar 13th 2012
Soaring Target2 Imbalances Stoke German Risk Angst: Euro Credit *B
Mar 12th 2012 # Jens Weidmann (Bundesbank): What's behind the Target2 balances #(FAZ)*A
Mar 12th 2012 # Target2: and what's really behind it #(Handelsblatt)
Mar 12th 2012 # Bundesbank goes on the offensive in Target debate #(FAZ)
Mar 10th 2012 # Ex-BuBa pres. Schlesinger:"ECB flooding reminds one of war financing"#(Die Welt)*3
Mar 10th 2012 # HW Sinn: Fed versus ECB: How Target debts can be repaid #(voxeu)*8
Mar 9th 2012 # Why it makes sense (Sinn) to think about Target2 #(blog.insm)*9
Mar 8th 2012 # Mar 08th 2012 Can a relocation of collateral within ECBS make sense? #(Handelsblatt) *7
Mar 7th 2012 # Wolfgang Münchau. This way it makes Sense(Sinn) #(Der Spiegel) *3
Mar 7th 2012
Collateral is key for target debate (bruegel) *2
Mar 7th 2012 # Target2 deficits: Why thecurrent account is not important # (Handelsblatt)
Mar 7th 2012
Target 2 of the ECB vs. Interdistrict Settlement Account of the Federal Reserve*1
Mar 7th 2012
German newspaper 'Die Zeit':ECB refuses Target2 reform #(Saarbrücker Zeitung)
Mar 7th 2012 # Draghi & Weidmann: Central bankers as pen pals #(FTD)
Mar 7th 2012
TARGET imbalances: Financing the capital-account reversal in Europe (voxeu)
Mar 6th 2012
Is Jens Weidmann Right About Bundesbank Target2 Risks? (creditwritedowns)
Mar 6th 2012 # Blog entry by HW Sinn - answer to blog entry by Mr Sievert #(wirtsch.Freiheit) *6
Mar 3rd 2012 # Blog entry by Olaf Sievert - open letter to HW Sinn #(wirtsch. Freiheit) *6
Mar 3rd 2012 # HW Sinn: The pighead among professors of economy #(FAZ)
Mar 3rd 2012
Euro-Zone Central Bank System Massively Imbalanced
Mar 2nd 2012
Pimco:TARGET2: A Channel for Europe’s Capital Flight
Mar 2nd 2012 # Target2 US edition #(blog.zeit.de)
Mar 2nd 2012
Bundesbank: Balances in the TARGET2Payments System – a Problem? (pdf) *5
Mar 2nd 2012
Jean Pisani-Ferry: Don’t confuse symptom and disease!
Mar 2nd 2012
Weidmann’s ECB agitation more dangerous than Weber
Mar 1st 2012 # The problem of the Target2 balances #(FAZ)
Mar 1st 2012
Bundesbank lectures ECB
Mar 1st 2012 # Bundesbank demands better collateral from ECB #(FAZ)
Mar 1st 2012
What is the meaning of TARGET balances?
Mar 1st 2012 # Bundesbank goes bananas ? #(Die Zeit)
Mar 1st 2012
Disquiet within ECB laid bare after cash injection
Feb 29th 2012 # Eurocrisis: The cloc is ticking # (Die Presse/at)
Feb 27th 2012 # Top economist Hans-Werner Sinn and the billion € bomb #(Der Spiegel)
Feb 26th 2012 # Hans-Werner Sinn: FED vs ECB How to satisfy a Target debt # (FAZ) *4
Feb 26h 2012 # Is the ECB financing current account deficits ? (blog.zeit.de) 
Feb 18th 2012 # Interview: Economist Hans-Werner Sinn: "We are trapped" #(FAZ)
Feb 1st 2012
Bundesbank sinks deeper into debt saving Europe
Jan 18th 2012 # Wolfgang Münchau: We're fighting the wrong crisis #(Der Spiegel)
Jan 9th 2012
Martin Wolf:The delicate balance of fixing the eurozone
Dec 11th 2011
The fuss about TARGET2
Dec 8th 2011
How German taxpayers prop up Italy
Dec 6th 2011
Karl Whelan: Worse than Sinn
Dec 6th 2011
Izabella Kaminska: How Germany is paying for the Eurozone crisis anyway
Dec 6th 2011
Eurozone Crisis, Act Two: Has the Bundesbank reached its limit? (VoxEU)
Oct 14th 2011
Target2debate – The ECB finally gets involved
Oct 13th 2011 # ECB dissents Sinn on Target2 #(Handelsblatt)
Sep 6th 2011
Making sense of Target imbalances new
Aug 31st 2011 # The European payment balance crisis # (Ifo Schnelldienst) pdf 100pages
Jun 16th 2011 # Hans-Werner Sinn, Target 2 and no end #(Die Zeit)
Jun 14th 2011 # Hans-Werner Sinn and the demagogy #(Handelsblatt)
Jun 10th 2011
The ECB’s Target2activities are not constraining German credit growth
Jun 9th 2011
Professor Sinn misses the target
Jun 9th 2011
Buiter,Rahbari,Michels:Target2and intra-Eurosystem imbalances in credit flow (pdf)
Jun 9th 2011
The ECB is not conducting a stealth bailout
Jun 1st 2011
Felix Salmon: How Europe’s central banks are staving off catastrophe
May 19th 2011
ECB publishes TARGET Annual Report 2010: the system functioned smoothly and registered a higher turnover
 new 
Feb 18th 2011 # Sinn: Criticism on Bundesbank crisis help #(WiWo) 









#  = German language




*1 = via @lostgen 




*2 = via @SonyKapoor




*3 = via @Tiefseher




*4 = via @Econgirl




*5 = via @Alea 




*6 = via @SZ_Wirtschaft




*7 = via @Olaf_Storbeck 




*8 = via @eparisicapone




*9 = via @insm




*A = via @FAZ_Wirtschaft




*B = via @izakaminska









A comment by the blog-author on this subject is available here




Mar 4th: Comments by readers are welcomed and link suggestions being checked and considered to be added in the list above.

Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Greece: Default or no default ?

Eurozoneremarks - Greece: Defualt or no default ?





Dear reader,











as mainstream media presented last weeks 'haircut' as the end for the ongoing Greek tragedy it's time to look beyond the smokescreen:






Mar 9th 2012

ISDA declares Greek credit event, CDS payments triggered
Mar 6th 2012

Press Release: Greek Public Dept Management Agency
Mar 1st 2012

ISDA - Determinations Requests
Mar 1st 2012

Greek Default Insurance Doesn’t Need to Pay Out After Bailout, ISDA Says
Feb 28th 2012

ISDA Determinations Committee: The Hellenic Republic
Feb 28th 2012

ISDA Determinations Committee Accepts Question Related to a Potential Hellenic Republic Credit Event
Feb 28th 2012

Hellenic Republic, Ministry of finance PDMA
Apr 5th 2012

Greece Is in a Face-Off With Its Bond Holdouts
Apr 5th 2012

Greece Says Additional €20.2 Billion Bonds Part Of Swap
Apr 3rd 2012 *
ABN Amro is obstructing debt deal Greece (rtl.nl) (dut)
Mar 18th 2012

Greece’s default: The wait is over
Mar 16th 2012

Norway Oil Fund Rejected Greek Debt Swap, CEO Slyngstad Says
Mar 16th 2012

Greek insurance payout to draw line under CDS fears
Mar 11th 2012 #
What do we know about CDS ? #(FAZ)
Mar 10th 2012

Industry group finds Greek deal triggers CDS payout
Mar 6th 2012

Greek Deal Looks Good To Go
Mar 6th 2012

Is ELA the key to keeping the drachma at bay?
Mar 5th 2012

Top lenders back Greek bond swap plan
Mar 5th 2012

In the slipstream of the Greek debt exchange(via @FGoria)
Mar 2nd 2012

When is a default not a default? (via @FGoria)
Mar 1st 2012

AT A GLANCE: The Mechanics Of The Big Greek Debt Swap
Mar 1st 2012

Greek insurance payout still seen despite "No" vote
Mar 1st 2012

No-Default Ruling on Greece Sets Bad Precedent: Gross 
Mar 1st 2012

Credit event circus, cont’d
Mar 1st 2012

OOF! PIMCO Disagrees With PIMCO On The Greek CDS Decision 
Feb 29th 2012

EIB Said to Get Similar Exemptions From Greece Writedowns to ECB
Feb 29th 2012

Insight: How the Greek debt puzzle was solved 
Feb 28th 2012

ECB puts Greek banks on emergency aid after downgrade
Feb 28th 2012

S&P Cuts Greece To Selective Default, Cites Collective-Action Clauses
Feb 28th 2012

ECB Suspends Greek Debt as Collateral After S&P Downgrade 
Feb 28th 2012

CAC threat sets up Greek bond swap 
Feb 28th 2012

IIFs Dallara says confident of strong participation in voluntary Greek debt deal 
Feb 28th 2012 #
CDS on Greek debt could be triggered # (WSJ De )
Feb 28th 2012

Haircut: CDS for Greek bonds probably worthless #(Handelsblatt) 
Feb 28th 2012

Greece’s bond exchange: it’s official 
Feb 28th 2012

Sovereign debt burden-sharing, and free-riding
Feb 28th 2012

Eurozone crisis live: Greece unveils terms for bond swap - 24 February 2012 
Feb 28th 2012

Collective action clause (Wiki)











#= German, *=Dutch language

Eurozone and Democracy

Dear reader,

since 2010 the eurozone is not only facing epic risks but also huge challenges to its democratic procedures in order to stay afloat. Often dramatic and very quick decisions had to be made by legislators in individual countries as well as on 'top level' by summits of governments. In order to keep track of some of the effects on democratic procedures on different levels there will be a compilation of such items here in this blog entry. Starting with latest German constitutional court ruling on a planned 'mini committee' within German parliament to decide on future financial involvements in e.g. EFSF and ESM. (As always starting with a triggering event followed by later additions to the topic in some updates)


Apr  21st 2012 The people are becoming a nuisance #(Berliner Zeitung)
Mar 27th 2012 Gilmore announces referendum date
Mar 27th 2012 Germany and Europe: Testing the limits
Feb 28th 2012 German Law German high court calls for more parliament in bailout decisions
Feb 28th 2012 Referendum to be held on Fiscal Treaty

# German language